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Stormy Weather this Weekend

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A thunderstorm complex across southeast Kansas early this morning continues to track east and southeast. It is possible that a few thunderstorms could move into parts of far northeast Oklahoma toward daybreak, with a limited risk of damaging winds. Any remaining outflow boundaries from the morning Kansas storms could be the focus for some thunderstorm development later this afternoon mainly across eastern Oklahoma. If storms can develop, conditions are favorable for severe weather. The better chances of severe weather, however, should hold off until late today and especially this evening as thunderstorms develop along a front to our west and move into parts of eastern Oklahoma. A limited tornado risk will be possible mainly across northeast Oklahoma, but the primary severe weather threat should be from damaging winds and large hail into the evening and overnight hours. Locally heavy rainfall will be a concern as well, with around 1 to 3 inches of rain likely across eastern Oklahoma along with locally higher amounts. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for all of northeast Oklahoma this evening through Sunday night. Another round of severe weather and locally heavy rainfall is expected for Sunday and Sunday night. All modes of severe weather will be possible for Sunday. Widespread 1 to 3 inch rainfall amounts are expected Sunday and Sunday night with localized amounts of 4 to 6 inches possible. This will likely cause flash flooding and river flooding. Several rivers are expected to go to minor or moderate flood during this heavy rainfall event. The main thunderstorm activity should begin to push southeast of the region by Monday morning.