Scattered thunderstorms ongoing early this morning will gradually weaken and dissipate by the late morning hours. Severe weather is unlikely during this time frame. Additional storms will develop across the High Plains and also across central Kansas later this afternoon and evenings. Storms are likely to merge into one or more larger storm complexes and track east and southeast across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas during the late evening and overnight hours. Instability will remain high across the region and support a risk of severe weather from late afternoon through the overnight hours. Additionally, areas of locally heavy rainfall are likely, especially during the evening and overnight hours. This concern is currently seen highest across northeast Oklahoma and points northward as slow storm motions and repeated storm development along a slow moving boundary will favor an axis of heavier rainfall amounts. This region will be further evaluated with updated forecasts regarding rainfall forecasts. The forecast for the upcoming week remains largely unsettled with daily thunderstorm chances. The exact details will fluctuate from day to day, however sufficient instability and high amounts of low level moisture will support both the potential for severe weather and areas of heavy rainfall. Areas of repeated heavy rains will become increasingly likely for flooding concerns, and this will become more clear as the week progresses.
Heavy Rain and Storms Likely
By NWS Tulsa • Jun 15, 2019